DAGGRE group forecasting workshop

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CsNs83eiBJhqzWPCW/daggre-group-forecasting-workshop

Anyone else going? http://​​blog.daggre.org/​​

Looks like you can barely get direct roundtrip from LA<->DC for $600 now (probably double that if you wait a week to book).

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https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CsNs83eiBJhqzWPCW/daggre-group-forecasting-workshop?commentId=tJwR8ghnKwvWD42XN

I’m glad they’re taking a stab at the problem!

I hope they cut into future uncertainty!

Have they taken the cloak of haze off the future?

Oh, I crack me up...

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CsNs83eiBJhqzWPCW/daggre-group-forecasting-workshop?commentId=LihaqksBDpZc8mppT

Yes, I’ll be going. We should chat!

(No idea why someone would downvote this.)

ETA—Nope! "Offer" of a full stipend not honored 24 hours after it was made. Not cool, Spooks, not cool.

ETA2 - Yup! They came through in the end, I went and it was extremely interesting.

Comment

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CsNs83eiBJhqzWPCW/daggre-group-forecasting-workshop?commentId=PhBPACu4TWrj5ctrK

How did you know the offer wasn’t honored?

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They un-retracted the offer at the last minute, and I was able to go.

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I found it quite interesting also, especially meeting all those intelligence studies folks.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CsNs83eiBJhqzWPCW/daggre-group-forecasting-workshop?commentId=6o9oSiJQ95m5cvepA

Their blog is pretty interesting, speaking as a member of a competing team. It’s the first time I’ve seen any opportunity to compare my scores with someone else’s in some detail. (For instance I did relatively well on the Russian election run-off question (.20), compared to my group (.50), but these folks did really well (.08).)

Wish this was closer to home.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CsNs83eiBJhqzWPCW/daggre-group-forecasting-workshop?commentId=HW99QxTQd87XgDhKn

I registered and bought air tickets, but some of the details are confusing me. I’m calling them tomorrow to straighten it out.